Gold futures climbed back above the key $1,800-an-ounce mark in Friday dealings, after remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, at the Jackson Hole center-bankers symposium, revealed that he supports tapering the pace of bond purchases this year, but continued to see high inflation as “transitory.”
“The speech was highly anticipated but it did not come with any real bombshells,” Peter Spina, president and chief executive officer at GoldSeek.com, told MarketWatch.
“The speech was highly anticipated but it did not come with any real bombshells.”
— Peter Spina, GoldSeek.com
“The remarks were measured. Not too hawkish, if anything a bit more on the dovish side,” he said. Powell “did not give any concrete details on a taper timeline, which helped to push gold back above $1,800 as the dollar remains weak.”
The Jackson Hole event was being held virtually due to concerns about the delta variant of the coronavirus.
Powell said “at the FOMC’s recent July meeting, I was of the view, as were most participants, that if the economy evolved broadly as anticipated, it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year.”
The Fed is buying $80 billion of Treasurys and $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities each month to put downward pressure on long-term interest rates and boost demand in the economy.
In the speech on Friday, however, Powell did not discuss when the Fed might formally announce the taper, or slow down, of the pace of bond purchases. Following the remarks, the U.S. stock market and gold prices traded higher.
“Though Powell stated the Fed planned to moderate its easy-money monetary policy later this year, he also said it was his belief recent high inflation was transitory, seeming indicating any change would be moderate,” Jeff Klearman, portfolio manager at GraniteShares, which offers the GraniteShares Gold Trust
“Moderate changes in the Fed’s monetary policy is likely to leave real and nominal rates at or near historical lows supporting all asset prices, including gold,” said Klearman.
rose 1.3%, or $22.70, to reach $1,817.90 an ounce, following a 0.2% gain on Thursday, with the precious metal headed for a weekly gain of nearly 2% based on the most-active contract, according to FactSet data.
Spina said he believes the market is near the end of the year-plus long consolidation in gold. “Easy Fed policies, massive Federal spending and deficits create a bullish case for gold in the coming quarters,” he said.
Once prices break out past the $1,835 area, “more buying momentum will come into the gold market and mining stocks, which have been crushed, will snap back quickly,” said Spina. That may lead gold prices to “retest its all-time highs and that can come pretty quickly — by early 2002,” he said.
Ahead of Powell’s comments, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic on Friday said he was focused on conditions in the labor market. The voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee’s told CNBC in an interview that the U.S. economy is “very close” to the substantial progress benchmark needed to start tapering its asset purchases but “a lot depends on what happens in the next couple of months.”
His remarks are part of a parade of Fed speakers slated for Friday, including the Fed’s No. 2 Richard Clarida at 2 p.m. The remarks also come after statements Thursday from a trio of non-voting central bank officials, including Kansas City Fed President Esther George, Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who all said they would favor tapering sooner than later.
Meanwhile, silver for September delivery
was trading 48 cents, or 2%, higher at $24.03 an ounce, with a weekly gain of 4% in sight for gold’s sister metal. The December silver contract
which is also among the most active, traded at $23.06 an ounce, up 46.4 cents, 2%.
The most-active December copper contract
added 1.8% to $4.34 a pound, with the contract up by over 5% for the week.
rose 3% to $1,005 an ounce, poised for a weekly rise of 1%. December palladium
traded at $2,406.50 an ounce, up 0.7% in Friday dealings, and trading up over 5% for the week.